tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5465015914589377788.post7083599235488823847..comments2019-09-20T22:29:34.691-04:00Comments on Michael James on Money: Understanding CorrelationMichael Jameshttp://www.blogger.com/profile/10362529610470788243noreply@blogger.comBlogger5125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5465015914589377788.post-68202018235202189422010-09-06T08:28:56.565-04:002010-09-06T08:28:56.565-04:00@Fred: Whether or not correlation is a static num...@Fred: Whether or not correlation is a static number depends on the context. For a given set of data, correlation is static, but we commonly recalculate it periodically with a sliding window of data. When we do this, the calculated correlation can change from one day to the next. The shorter the window of data, the more wildly correlation will change over time.<br /><br />As a long-term investor myself, I'm more interested in correlations computed over decades rather than days. For me, correlation doesn't usually change much in the course of a week or even a year.Michael Jameshttps://www.blogger.com/profile/10362529610470788243noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5465015914589377788.post-86441355582474755122010-09-06T05:45:31.104-04:002010-09-06T05:45:31.104-04:00Correlation is not a static number. Likewise, beta...Correlation is not a static number. Likewise, beta is not a static number. However, these observations are often overlooked by financial commentators. As we know, international equity markets that had low prior correlations all became highly correlated in the fall of 2008.Fredhttp://www.etf2x.comnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5465015914589377788.post-46022425079694356652010-09-01T13:29:08.848-04:002010-09-01T13:29:08.848-04:00@Canadian Investor: You're right. Correlatio...@Canadian Investor: You're right. Correlation definitely has its uses. My main point is that if two quantities are uncorrelated, it doesn't mean that they have no relationship to each other.<br /><br />For example, if you choose a number uniformly at random between -10 and +10 this number is uncorrelated with its own square. But, these two quantities are obviously related in that you can calculate the second from the first.Michael Jameshttps://www.blogger.com/profile/10362529610470788243noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5465015914589377788.post-73908205535591634702010-09-01T11:33:46.130-04:002010-09-01T11:33:46.130-04:00I don't think that means correlation is a usel...I don't think that means correlation is a useless investment statistic. What happens when you have a portfolio of the two stocks in equal proportions and rebalance annually? I bet it's a smoother curve than either stock's and the return will be higher too. The reason we are interested in correlation is to manage a portfolio by taking advantage of rebalancing over shorter time periods than 5 years. <br /><br />If we took actual 25 year rolling returns I bet every investment type / asset class would have correlation near +1 since over that long a time, just about everything goes up. <br /><br />But your point is well taken, Michael, it is essential to understand how correlation works and how it is useful.CanadianInvestorhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/05645767559302303541noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5465015914589377788.post-85748972279136272722010-09-01T08:34:44.735-04:002010-09-01T08:34:44.735-04:00Wow. That's an eye-opener.Wow. That's an eye-opener.Patrickhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/16816252455472704262noreply@blogger.com