My Investment Return for 2025
The 2025 investment return for my overall portfolio measured in Canadian dollars was 13.7%, which is below my 2025 benchmark return of 16.0%. There are two main reasons for this difference. The first is that we made a large financial gift, and the timing of our stock sale to raise cash for this gift was unlucky. The second reason is my decision a few years ago to shift gradually away from stocks when stock prices are high as measured by the cyclically adjusted price-to-earnings ratio (CAPE) of world stocks. This shift is tied to my rebalancing plan that is automated in a spreadsheet. My benchmark doesn’t do any automated shifting away from expensive stocks. This year, stock prices were high but they gave good returns anyway, and my slightly lower than usual allocation to stocks cost me money. This has happened two years in a row now. But I’m content with this outcome. By shifting modestly away from stocks when they’re expensive, my p...