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Common Financial Mistakes

Another great question David Chilton, The Wealthy Barber, asked me on his podcast is what big financial mistakes I see people making.  I’ll discuss two mistakes I see mainly among working-age people and two more specific to retirees. Buying expensive cars and trucks Paying $1000+ per month on car loans for the rest of your life isn’t a sensible financial move for most people.  You might need a car, but you don’t necessarily need such an expensive car.  In a moment of weakness and excitement, you sign the papers on that great car.  That sets up a cycle that’s hard to break.  You’ll be rolling one car loan into another.  The debt will keep growing and last for decades. I used to tell people to pay cash for cars.  I still think this is good advice, but people just blink now when I say it.  At the very least, think about the life burden your car payments will create and choose a car that fits your budget. Buying a house that is too expensive This is ...

Should You Get a Reverse Mortgage?

A reverse mortgage is a loan against your home where you don’t have to make mortgage payments.  The lender gives you a lump sum or regular payments that are limited to a percentage of your home’s value, typically 20-60% depending on your age, and you get to stay in your home.  The mortgage balance grows until you die, leave your home for some other reason, or choose to pay it off. In a typical case, you or your estate pays back the lender from the proceeds of selling your home.  For most reverse mortgages, you get to stay in your home even if the debt grows to more than the home’s value.  The best information I could find is that this happens less than 1% of the time, which is hardly surprising given the extended real estate boom in Canada. House prices have been appreciating fast enough to keep ahead of the debt. The number of reverse mortgages held by Canadians is still just a tiny fraction of all mortgages, and even fewer reverse mortgages have run to completion....

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Should People Invest in Real Estate?

One of the contentious questions David Chilton, The Wealthy Barber, asked me on his podcast is whether people should invest in real estate.  This is an emotional subject for many, and all of us come to the discussion with different experiences and skills. We are really asking three different questions here: 1. Should you own your home or rent? 2. Should you own rental properties? 3. Should you invest in REITs (real estate investment trusts)? Should you own your home or rent? There are many factors to consider.  Let’s focus on money first.  Are you better off from a purely financial point of view to own your home or rent a comparable home?  If you’re an emotionless robot when it comes to investing and saving, and you understand low-cost index investing, then the answer is usually that renting is better financially.  In rare markets, this can flip, but renting wins most of the time. But people aren’t emotionless robots.  They often invest their savings terri...

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Applying Personal Finance Principles to FIRE

The subject of FIRE (Financial Independence Retire Early) has captured the imaginations of many.  Some love it and some hate it, because it’s a good strategy for some and not others.  Many variants of FIRE have evolved over time to suit people’s different needs and desires.  This makes it hard to speak generally about FIRE, but there are principles that we can use to judge a particular FIRE plan. Here is a general personal finance principle: Don’t cheat your future self by indulging your present self. The fact that we tend to discount the future too much makes this principle difficult to follow for some.  Roughly speaking, this principle means you should plan for your future consumption to match your current consumption.  In some cases, a carefully thought out plan can have some higher consumption in the present than in the future.  The key here is having a sensible plan rather than just living for today and ignoring the future. FIRE enthusiasts don’t have ...

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Should Young People Invest 100% in Equities?

Another great question David Chilton, The Wealthy Barber, asked me on his podcast is should young people invest 100% in equities?  Opinions on this point change with the times.  In the late 1970s, popular opinion was that it was crazy to put any money at all in the stock market.  By the late 1990s dot-com bubble, people believed that stocks were the path to great wealth. Stock markets have been performing very well for a long time, so it’s not surprising that popular opinion favours stock investing today.  Ironically, investing 100% in stocks is best when popular opinion is against stocks.  At today’s elevated stock prices, the case for 100% stock ownership is weaker than it has been in most of the past. But this doesn’t mean that investing in stocks today is a bad idea.  It just means that expected future returns are lower than usual, and the odds of a stock crash are higher than usual.  But if you can hold for the long term, you can ride out the sho...

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The Value of Delaying RRSP Withdrawals

We’ve heard that melting down an RRSP early can be valuable when it lowers your future tax rate on RRSP withdrawals later in retirement.  But we’ve also heard that delaying RRSP withdrawals so the RRSP can continue growing tax-free is valuable.  But not everyone agrees that longer tax-free compounding is valuable.  Who’s right?  Let’s dig in. We can make mistakes when we try to measure the value of some portfolio choice in isolation.  We have to consider all of its effects to draw a correct conclusion.  Here’s an example: Scenario 1 (RRSP meltdown) : You withdraw an amount M from your RRSP today.  If your average tax rate on the withdrawal is T, you get to keep M(1-T). Scenario 2 (no RRSP meltdown) : In a second scenario, you delay RRSP withdrawals for a decade.  Your RRSP grows by a factor of R in that decade, and you withdraw MR then.  If your future average tax rate on that withdrawal is U, you get to keep MR(1-U). It’s important to note t...

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RRSP vs. TFSA vs. Paying Down Debt

When Canadians have some money available, a big decision they face is whether to invest it in an RRSP or TFSA or to focus on paying down debt.  Dave Chilton, The Wealthy Barber, asked me how I thought about this choice on his podcast .  Here I give a fuller answer to his question. This is really two separate questions.  The first is whether to invest savings or pay down debt.  The second is whether to put savings you’ve decided to invest into an RRSP or a TFSA. It never makes sense to invest ahead of paying down high-interest debt.  We could make a case for starting to invest a little, just to start the habit, but paying down high-interest debt should be the initial priority.  This leaves the question of whether to invest or pay down your mortgage. Invest or pay down your mortgage A popular answer to this question is that you expect to make about 7% per year on your investments, but your mortgage is only 4%, so you should always invest.  This is right ...

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