Recent Rational Reminder podcasts ( 319 and 321 ) have had a debate about tax rates on RRSP contributions and withdrawals.  Most people agree that when you contribute, you’re lowering your taxes at your marginal tax rate.  The debate concerns withdrawals.  Some say that RRSP withdrawals come at your “average, or effective tax rates, not your marginal tax rate.”  Here, I address this question. With Canada’s progressive tax system, the first part of your income isn’t taxed at all (or is taxed negatively when you consider income-tested government benefits), then the next part of your income is lightly taxed, and marginal tax rates increase from there as your income rises. A question that comes up in my own portfolio accumulation and decumulation planning is what order to stack income each year.  Is it CPP and OAS that are taxed lightly and RRSP withdrawals taxed more, or should I stack the income in some other order?  What about other income from non-register...

Suppose a casino offered the following bet.  You roll six fair dice.  If anything but all sixes shows up, you get $20.  But if all sixes show up, you lose a million dollars.  There are a number of practical problems with this game.  The casino would demand a million dollar deposit in advance, and the odds are way too sensitive to imperfections in the dice and to player skill at not throwing sixes.  But this is a thought experiment designed to shed light on real world financial events. Initially, few people would play this game, because losing a million dollars is too scary.  But if you watched someone playing, even all day, you’d likely never see a loss.  You’d just see the player collecting $20 every 10 seconds or so building up to many thousands of dollars.  The fear of missing out (FOMO) would set in for some and tempt them to play. Over the long haul, the casino expects to pay out $933,120 for every million dollars it wins.  So playi...

My post describing my experience with the dual-motor long-range Tesla Model 3 I bought back in April 2019 generated further questions about battery life, recalls, and driving range in winter that I answer here. Battery life Recently, I was in a waiting room and couldn’t help overhearing a conversation about electric vehicles.  The two people agreed they wouldn’t consider owning one, and the dominant stated reason was fear of high-cost battery replacements.  It became clear after a while that they mistakenly believed EV batteries would have to be replaced as often as lead-acid batteries in gas cars.  The truth is that Tesla batteries are expected to last longer than the rest of the car. A few days ago, I was startled to receive a notification on my phone that my car’s battery needed to be replaced.  A few seconds of poking around on the Tesla app eased my worries.  I didn’t realize that my car has a lead-acid battery as well as its large high-tech battery. ...

Actuary Frederick Vettese has a third edition of his excellent book, Retirement Income for Life: Getting More Without Saving More .  He explains methods of making your retirement savings produce more income over your entire retirement.  These methods include controlling investment fees, optimizing the timing of starting CPP and OAS pensions, annuities, Vettese’s free Personal Enhanced Retirement Calculator (PERC), and using reverse mortgages as a backstop if savings run out. This third edition adds new material about how to deal with higher inflation, CPP expansion, new investment products as potential replacements for annuities, and improvements to Vettese’s retirement calculator PERC.  Rather than repeat material from my review of the second edition , I will focus on specific areas that drew my attention. Inflation “We can no longer take low inflation for granted.”  “An annuity does nothing to lessen inflation risk, which should be a greater worry than it was befor...

Back in April 2019, I bought a dual-motor long-range Tesla Model 3.  I had some concerns about buying an electric car, but my research showed that none of these concerns were likely to be real problems.  Still, buying the car felt like a leap of faith.  Now that I’ve had it for 5 years and 4 months, I can say that it’s been the best car I’ve owned, even better than my Lexus GS400 . Some concerns I had before I bought the car were its price, the charging network when traveling, home charging, battery reliability, self-driving features, and ongoing costs.  Something I didn’t know about in advance that turned out to be a pleasant surprise is the one-pedal driving.  A negative about owning this car is that somehow EVs have become political. Price Compared to other luxury cars, Teslas are reasonably priced.  However, there is no lower end Tesla model suitable for the bulk of car owners.  Teslas are still too expensive for most people.  The lower annual...

In his book Tightwads and Spendthrifts , marketing professor Scott Rick promises advice for “financial aspects of intimate relationships.”  What got my attention early is that his guidance “is rooted in rigorous behavioral science.”  Applying the scientific method to human interactions is challenging, but it is generally better than relying on opinions.  The book gives useful insights into how people think about spending money. The introduction gives a four-question quiz designed to place the reader on a scale from 4 to 26.  Those at the low end of the scale are called tightwads, and those at the other end are spendthrifts.  Roughly half the respondents fell in the middle third of the range and are called “unconflicted consumers.”  Most of the book deals with tightwads, spendthrifts, and their interactions; little is said about unconflicted consumers. Demographic differences Extensive surveys revealed some interesting demographic differences between tightwa...

Tony Robbins’ latest book, The Holy Grail of Investing , written with Christopher Zook, is a strong sales pitch for investors to move into alternative investments such as private equity, private credit, and venture capital.  I decided to give it a chance to challenge my current plans to stay out of alternative investments.  The book has some interesting parts, mainly the interviews with several alternative investment managers, but it didn't change my mind. The book begins with the usual disclaimers about not being intended “to serve as the basis for any financial decision” and not being a substitute for expert legal and accounting advice.  However, it also has a disclosure: “Tony Robbins is a minority passive shareholder of CAZ Investments, an SEC registered investment advisor (RIA).  Mr. Robbins does not have an active role in the company.  However, as shareholder, Mr. Robbins and Mr. Zook have a financial incentive to promote and direct business to CAZ Investm...